Charlie Callan.

About Charlie Callan

Charlie is an integral part of the Investments team, leading generalist corporate coverage across the capital structure and credit fundamentals. Additionally, Charlie leads BondAdviser’s quantitative modelling in respect to relative value analysis and credit portfolio simulations. Read bio >
22 Oct, 2015

Weekly Highlights

By |2021-09-24T09:38:30+10:00Oct 22, 2015|Market Commentary|

In a week filled with uncertainty the bond market outperformed with treasuries rallying across the curve. In Australia the Credit Indices outperformed equities (slightly) as Telstra (announcement from the ACCC), BHP (completion of huge Hybrid issue), Origin Energy (WTI Oil dropped ~8% from its recent high) and Westpac announced its $3.5billion capital raising. New issuance was again limited to a [...]

22 Oct, 2015

Aurizon Holdings: Update a costs reduction story

By |2015-10-22T00:02:36+11:00Oct 22, 2015|Bonds|

Aurizon held its investor day on October 7th, at which it outlined its transformation program to deliver further cost reductions and productivity benefits totalling $310-$380m for the 3 fiscal years FY16 to FY18, which are crucial to achieve its target of delivering an Operating Ratio (OR) of 70% by FY18, ie an EBIT margin of 30% (versus an OR of 74.3% [...]

21 Oct, 2015

AGL Energy: News and Guidance is Credit Friendly

By |2015-10-21T23:55:48+11:00Oct 21, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Beginning of September, AGL disclosed that it completed the sale of its 50% participating interest in the 420MW MacArthur Wind Farm for $532m. This was earlier than expected as the company had guided for "first half of FY16" but in-line price-wise as it had anticipated a $500m price tag. It is an important milestone in AGL's target of $1bn of [...]

21 Oct, 2015

Crown Resorts: Price movements not reflective of credit fundamentals

By |2015-10-21T23:54:20+11:00Oct 21, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Both the share price and subordinated notes have recently experienced a rebound in their price: The share price has recovered from $8.99 on September 30th to above $12 currently; Crown Subordinated Notes are trading back above par ($100) after having reached a low of $98 on 15 September 2015; Similarly Crown Subordinated Notes II are trading back at $93, after having reached a [...]

8 Oct, 2015

Weekly Highlights

By |2021-09-24T09:38:30+10:00Oct 8, 2015|Market Commentary|

Credit markets were partially open last week but not particularly active and investor confidence was low due to continuing stock market volatility. It is difficult to gauge investor confidence at present, but press reports over the weekend that BHP Billiton was postponing their hybrid capital raising  to global investors as a result of weak credit markets suggests  institutional confidence in the credit markets is low. It is our understanding that no decision [...]

8 Oct, 2015

2015 Australian Financial Markets Report

By |2021-09-24T09:50:30+10:00Oct 8, 2015|Market Commentary|

We know the listed debt and hybrid market in Australia is dwarfed by the wholesale (over the counter) debt market but the 2015 Australian Financial Markets Report released this week just confirms the reality. Below is a chart plotting the physical cash turnover (that is the cash secondary market turnover) of the two markets. It looks as though the listed market doesn't exist [...]

7 Oct, 2015

MEDIA RELEASE: BondAdviser completes successful Capital Raising

By |2021-09-24T09:30:29+10:00Oct 7, 2015|Archives|

Wednesday 7 October 2015 File attached: 061015_BondAdviser_PR_Cap Raising_FINAL   Independent fixed income research house BondAdviser today announced it has successfully closed its first capital raising to fund business growth. The offer was supported by a number of high-net-worth private investors connected to the financial services industry. BondAdviser Managing Director and Co-Founder, Geoff Malkin, said people familiar with bond markets understand the [...]

1 Oct, 2015

Weekly Highlights

By |2021-09-24T09:38:30+10:00Oct 1, 2015|Market Commentary|

SMSF investors wont be happy this week as the proxy income giant Commonwealth Bank share price closed on Friday ($71.44) below the $71.50 retail entitlement price and hit a low of $70.15 before recovering to ~$73 as we write. There are a number of factors driving this sell off including a gloomy economic outlook for the region, increased capital and liquidity [...]

1 Oct, 2015

Origin Energy Capital Initiatives – Positive for Subordinated Notes

By |2015-10-01T01:35:12+10:00Oct 1, 2015|Bonds|

On 30 September 2015 Origin Energy Limited finally gave in to pressure to stabilise its balance sheet following a collapse in Oil / LNG prices and a deterioration in the operating business. The group has announced a series of capital initiatives to improve the credit metrics of the group but more importantly start a process to remove any reliance it [...]

1 Oct, 2015

Nufarm FY2015 Results

By |2021-09-24T10:48:05+10:00Oct 1, 2015|Research|

Last week Nufarm reported pleasing full year 2015 results with underlying profit of $104.8m. EBITDA was up 18% to $317 million and revenue increased ~4%. Higher debt levels meant credit metrics remained broadly stable with net leverage decreasing slightly to to 1.7x. Revenue growth was driven by higher sales of herbicides and fungicides in particular, offsetting a decline in sales from insecticides. From a demographic [...]