21 Oct, 2015

AGL Energy: News and Guidance is Credit Friendly

By |2015-10-21T23:55:48+11:00Oct 21, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Beginning of September, AGL disclosed that it completed the sale of its 50% participating interest in the 420MW MacArthur Wind Farm for $532m. This was earlier than expected as the company had guided for "first half of FY16" but in-line price-wise as it had anticipated a $500m price tag. It is an important milestone in AGL's target of $1bn of [...]

21 Oct, 2015

Crown Resorts: Price movements not reflective of credit fundamentals

By |2015-10-21T23:54:20+11:00Oct 21, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Both the share price and subordinated notes have recently experienced a rebound in their price: The share price has recovered from $8.99 on September 30th to above $12 currently; Crown Subordinated Notes are trading back above par ($100) after having reached a low of $98 on 15 September 2015; Similarly Crown Subordinated Notes II are trading back at $93, after having reached a [...]

1 Oct, 2015

Origin Energy Capital Initiatives – Positive for Subordinated Notes

By |2015-10-01T01:35:12+10:00Oct 1, 2015|Bonds|

On 30 September 2015 Origin Energy Limited finally gave in to pressure to stabilise its balance sheet following a collapse in Oil / LNG prices and a deterioration in the operating business. The group has announced a series of capital initiatives to improve the credit metrics of the group but more importantly start a process to remove any reliance it [...]

27 Aug, 2015

FY2015 Results: Challenger Limited

By |2021-09-24T09:50:30+10:00Aug 27, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Earnings Sales momentum has stalled in the key retail annuity sales product (ex-CARE) up only 5% on the year. The second half of the year was particularly weak with retail annuity sales growth being negative. This is the lowest growth in 3 years and suggests that the low interest rate environment is forcing retirees to take more risk in order [...]

27 Aug, 2015

1H2015 Results: Coca Cola Amatil

By |2015-08-27T06:13:45+10:00Aug 27, 2015|Bonds|

CCA published a solid set of 1H15 results, which were slightly ahead of market expectations (albeit expectations were low following recent events) with EBIT flat at $316.9m (vs $316.7m 1H14). While trading revenue was up 4.9% to $2,449.7m, adjusted EBITDA (before significant items) was only marginally up (1.3%) to $453.9m as margins dropped from 19% to 18.3%. By division: Australia (55% of trading revenue): EBIT declined [...]

27 Aug, 2015

FY2015 Results: BHP Billiton Limited

By |2021-09-24T09:50:30+10:00Aug 27, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

BHP Billiton published FY15 relatively weak results which were below market consensus. Revenue was down 21.4% to $44.6bn and underlying EBITDA fell 27.9% to $21.9bn as lower average realized prices (-41% in iron ore, -33% in oil and more than -20% in coal) offset productivity gains. By business segment: Iron Ore: BHP expects FY16 production to increase by 6%. BHP [...]

19 Aug, 2015

FY2015 Results: Telstra Corporation Limited

By |2021-09-24T09:50:30+10:00Aug 19, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Telstra reported a mixed set of results for FY15 with total income increasing 1.2% to reach $26.6bn and EBITDA decreasing 3.5% to $10.7bn mainly as a result of lower revenues in fixed voice. By key product line: Mobile revenues (41% of Group revenues) increased 10.2% over the period, the strongest growth rate in 3 years, thanks to strong growth in [...]

19 Aug, 2015

FY2015 Results: AGL Energy Limited

By |2021-09-24T09:50:30+10:00Aug 19, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

AGL published solid FY15 results, which came ahead of market consensus, thanks mainly to the Macquarie Generation acquisition which performed better than expected. By divisions (AGL changed its operational structure after its investor day in May): Energy Markets: EBIT up 27.4% to reach $2,063m thanks mainly to good results from Wholesale markets, helped by the acquisition of the Macquarie Generation assets which offest [...]

19 Aug, 2015

FY2015 Results: Crown Resorts Limited

By |2021-09-24T09:50:30+10:00Aug 19, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

August 13th, 2015: As anticipated when we changed our recommendation in May to SELL, Crown Resorts published weak FY15 results, which were below analysts estimates. By divisions: Crown Melbourne: reported EBITDA up 8.6% to $644.6m, due to adverse variance from the theoretical VIP program play having a negative EBITDA impact of $17.5m, offsetting the strong revenue growth in VIP program [...]

12 Aug, 2015

FY 2015 Results: AGL Energy Limited

By |2015-08-12T23:20:45+10:00Aug 12, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

August 12th 2015: AGL published strong FY15 results, which came in ahead of market consensus, thanks mainly to the Macquarie Generation acquisition which performed ahead of expectations: By divisions (AGL changed its operational structure after its investor day in May): Energy Markets: EBIT up 27.4% to reach $2,063m thanks mainly to good results from Wholesale markets, helped by the acquisition of the Macquarie [...]