24 Feb, 2015

Pick of the Week

By |2021-09-09T11:08:07+10:00Feb 24, 2015|Bonds, Deposits, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

This week we have been focusing on a new tactical trade idea for Qantas. We are far from long-term buyers of the Airline sector but we think given the economic environment things might start to improve. A few months ago Qantas finally acknowledged that it has stopped flooding the market with spare capacity to maintain market share. This is positive [...]

24 Feb, 2015

Interest Rate Movements

By |2021-09-09T11:07:44+10:00Feb 24, 2015|Bonds, Deposits, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

The government bond and swap yield curves remain as flat as pancakes as the interest rate futures markets push out any expectation of a rate rise in coming years. This was echoed by Governor Stevens during the week when he said in a speech at the Economics Council “…we expect rates to remain lower for longer”. However, we do think [...]

24 Feb, 2015

General Interest

By |2021-09-09T11:07:44+10:00Feb 24, 2015|Bonds, Deposits, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

This week QBE Insurance Group Ltd was rumored to be arranging a series of investor meetings in Asia and Europe‎ about a potential Tier 2 transaction. The question is why they wouldn’t tap the listed retail market? The answer is cost. The listed market continues to be an expensive avenue to issue regulatory capital for institutions, except where they can [...]

24 Feb, 2015

Recommendation changes

By |2021-09-09T11:07:18+10:00Feb 24, 2015|Bonds, Deposits, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

Apart from initiating coverage on the airports this week, we have focused our attention on the regulatory capital securities for the insurers (Suncorp Group and IAG). These securities (which are generally listed) experienced some significant volatility in late October following the rating downgrade by Standard and Poors and broad market selling. Our thesis on these securities remains the same – [...]

24 Feb, 2015

New securities

By |2021-09-09T11:07:18+10:00Feb 24, 2015|Bonds, Deposits, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

This week we added eligible securities from the domestic airports to our list. Brisbane, Perth, Melbourne and Sydney airports all have debt securities, which are accessible to retail and sophisticated investors. Broadly speaking, these are very stable businesses that are unlikely to face major earnings disruptions except for natural disaster events and/or terrorist events. The biggest risk is that they [...]