Charlie Callan.

About Charlie Callan

Charlie is an integral part of the Investments team, leading generalist corporate coverage across the capital structure and credit fundamentals. Additionally, Charlie leads BondAdviser’s quantitative modelling in respect to relative value analysis and credit portfolio simulations. Read bio >
28 May, 2015

S&P Lowers its Outlook from Positive to Stable on Goodman Group: Confirms our HOLD recommendation

By |2015-05-28T00:35:49+10:00May 28, 2015|Bonds, Hybrids|

S&P revised last week Goodman Group's outlook from Positive to Stable, while at the same time confirming its BBB long-term corporate credit rating. The change of outlook is due to the rating agency's assessment that Goodman's financial policy won't be as financially conservative and would be prepared to increase its look-through gearing to 40-45% in certain circumstances. The rating agency [...]

25 May, 2015

Bank Income: Deposits, Debt, Hybrids or Equity

By |2015-05-25T02:40:22+10:00May 25, 2015|Deposits, Hybrids|

The chase for yield by self managed super funds has been well documented but despite the warnings by regulators, commentators and analysts about further changes to regulations, bank share prices continued to trade well above their long term average (on a price to earnings multiple basis). In a low interest rate environment this demand for yield is completely understandable, but dividends are purely a function of capital [...]

20 May, 2015

Weekly Highlights – 19 May 2015

By |2021-09-24T09:38:31+10:00May 20, 2015|Market Commentary|

Over the past month we have witnessed a sell-off in the fixed rate bond market as the process of normalising long-term bond yields continues across the globe (this can be partially attributed to fears of deflation in Europe). However, over the past week the bond  sell-off seems to have stalled as US economic data releases were patchy and Greek policy issues  caused a slight flight to quality to bonds [...]

20 May, 2015

Exchange Traded Bond Units (“XTBs”) have launched

By |2015-05-20T05:37:34+10:00May 20, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Last week the Australian Corporate Bond Company formally launched their Exchange Traded Bond Units ("XTBs") offering retail investors access to corporate bonds on the Australian Securities Exchange. This product will change the way investors participate in fixed income markets which were historically restricted to wholesale investors. Here is a list of XTB's available as at 19 May 2015: ASX Code Underlying Bond Underlying Issuer YTMAZJ [...]

13 May, 2015

Bank shares or Bank Tier 1 hybrids – a question of choice!

By |2015-05-13T04:47:41+10:00May 13, 2015|Bonds, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

The last two weeks have seen a severe decline in the price of bank shares, a steepening in the yield curve and a slight widening in Tier 1 regulated Bank hybrid securities. As an example CBA’s PERLS VII is off 6.5% from its issue price and the common equity is off 15% from its high ($96.30). This gives investors the following yield choices: CBA special deposit [...]

13 May, 2015

Bond vs. Term Deposit Liquidity

By |2015-05-13T04:31:26+10:00May 13, 2015|Bonds, Deposits|

With the spotlight on lower term deposit yields we thought it worth focusing on their liquidity . Essentially, term deposits can be broken before maturity with the issuing bank. There is no broad market determining the price, just a single bank and their deposit pricing systems. The following is a real life example as at 11th May, 2015: Term deposit with  major bank yielding 3.3% [...]

12 May, 2015

Macau’s continued weak gaming revenues plus sizeable Capital Investment triggers a change in our recommendation for Crown Subordinated Notes

By |2015-05-12T11:28:14+10:00May 12, 2015|Bonds, Hybrids|

After a 39.4% decline in gaming revenue for the month of March and a 35% fall over the first 3 months of the year, the Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau of Macau reported a 38.8% year on year decline in gross gaming revenue in April, the 11th consecutive monthly decline. In the first 4 months of 2015, Macau's gross gaming [...]

12 May, 2015

Review: Bank Reporting Season

By |2015-05-12T00:43:57+10:00May 12, 2015|Hybrids, Market Commentary|

Over the past week ANZ, NAB , WBC and Macquarie have all reported their half year results and CBA provided a quarterly update. The theme is consistent across issuers with cash earnings remaining strong (although below inflated expectations), asset quality remained relatively stable (with the exception of a couple of outliers) but the key theme has been an increase in [...]

5 May, 2015

Weekly Highlights (5 May 2015)

By |2021-09-24T09:38:31+10:00May 5, 2015|Market Commentary|

Over the past week we have witnessed a steeping of the yield curve (change in long term rates expectations), the RBA keeping interest rate traders happy with a rate cut, APRA changing the capital rules for banks (good for debt and hybrid investors), major banks kicking of their half year reporting and a few interesting pricing benchmarks. The yield curve  relevant to our investor [...]

5 May, 2015

Banks Crunched on Waynes Speech

By |2021-09-09T11:11:22+10:00May 5, 2015|Market Commentary|

The Australian Banking sector has had a difficult few days on the sharemarket after APRA's (Australian Prudential Regulation Authority) Chairman Wayne Byres said  the recommendation by the Financial Systems Inquiry on increasing mortgage risk weights can be “dealt with sooner rather than later.” To most people this means nothing at all but in technical terms it will make `it significantly harder for banks [...]