21 Jul, 2016

Where are Term Deposit rates heading?

By |2016-07-21T00:15:59+10:00Jul 21, 2016|Deposits, Market Commentary|

At the end of February, we published “Term Deposits – Past, Current and Future Trends” outlining our expectation that term deposit margins would increase due to competitive pressures between Authorised Depository Institutions (ADIs). Since the commentary was written, term deposit margins have indeed risen by ~0.20%.   Figure 1. Term Deposit Spreads Source: RBA, AFMA, BondAdviser   As shown in [...]

21 Jul, 2016

The significance of ANZ StEPS

By |2016-07-21T00:13:12+10:00Jul 21, 2016|Case Study, Hybrids|

Over the first half of 2016 the four major Australian banks have issued ~A$4.65 billion of domestic and US$1 billion of offshore hybrids. In a globally low interest rate environment, these issues have been well supported by investors and this is reflected in the movement of the average hybrid trading margin over 2016.   Figure 1. AT1 Average Trading Margin [...]

20 Jul, 2016

S&P request to comment on APRA criteria

By |2016-07-20T23:41:10+10:00Jul 20, 2016|Bonds, Hybrids|

On the 6th of July 2016 ratings agency S&P issued a request for comment relating to proposed amendments to Australian Prudential Regulation Authority’s (APRA) evaluation criteria regarding the capital adequacy of banks. Ultimately, the agency’s intention is to begin capturing recent Basel III enhancements that were introduced after the Global Financial Crisis in Pillar 3 bank disclosure statement reports.   [...]

18 Jul, 2016

Hybrid Performance Post Brexit

By |2016-07-18T01:24:09+10:00Jul 18, 2016|Hybrids|

Major bank tier 1 hybrids have continued to rally over the past fortnight as markets have shrugged off the spike in market volatility experienced directly after the 23rd June Brexit vote.   The Westpac Convertible Preference Shares (ASX Code: WBCPC) have had the largest compression in spread (0.84%) followed by the NAB Convertible Preference Shares 2 (NABPB) compressing by 0.63%. [...]

11 Jul, 2016

Sovereign Downgrade

By |2016-07-11T02:50:36+10:00Jul 11, 2016|Bonds, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

Following S&P’s announcement on Thursday that Australia’s outlook had been downgraded to “Negative”, the agency stated on a conference call it would be unlikely that Australia’s “local currency rating” would stay at AAA if the “foreign currency rating” is cut. As a consequence of the outlook downgrade some federal government agencies and the state governments of New South Wales, Victoria [...]

6 Jul, 2016

BondAdviser Income Opportunities Model Portfolio Performance

By |2021-09-24T09:50:26+10:00Jul 6, 2016|Bonds, Market Commentary|

The model portfolio return over the 2015-16 financial year was +4.24%, strongly outperforming the benchmark return of +1.98%.   In terms of individual exposures, the portfolio benefited from positive contributors to performance from the Suncorp Convertible Preference Shares II (ASX Code: SUNPC), ANZ Convertible Preference Shares 3 (ASX Code: ANZPC) and the AMP Subordinated Notes 2 (ASX Code: AMPHA), contributing [...]

6 Jul, 2016

Institutional Bond Market Liquidity, the New Reality

By |2021-09-24T09:50:26+10:00Jul 6, 2016|Bonds, Market Commentary|

The concept of liquidity describes the degree to which an asset or security can be quickly bought or sold in the market without having a material impact on price.   Similarly, bond market liquidity refers to the extent to which the bond market allows assets to be bought and sold at stable prices. Cash or cash equivalent securities are the most [...]

22 Jun, 2016

What scenario would result in APRA deeming a Non-Viability Trigger Event?

By |2016-06-22T23:58:29+10:00Jun 22, 2016|Hybrids, Market Commentary|

Since 1 January 2013 all Australian Banks regulated by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) have issued hybrid securities (also known as Additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital securities) that include terminology called a non- viability trigger event which is designed to absorb losses in a time of stress while the bank is still a going concern. These loss-absorption triggers allow [...]

22 Jun, 2016

Virgin Update

By |2016-06-22T23:43:50+10:00Jun 22, 2016|Bonds|

Earlier in the year Virgin Australia tapped strategic shareholders for a $425 million loan facility prompting a review of its capital structure to enhance cashflow and profitability.  The last time Virgin went to these shareholders was in late 2013 ($90 million) when the aviation industry was facing poor consumer sentiment and high oil prices. Qantas was in an even worse position [...]

16 Jun, 2016

Crown Resorts: Demerger a positive impact on Sub Notes

By |2021-09-24T09:50:26+10:00Jun 16, 2016|Hybrids, Market Commentary|

On the 15th June 2016 Crown Resort Limited announced to the ASX planned initiatives to “enhance shareholder value”. These initiatives will significantly transform the company balance sheet and provide greater transparency on the underlying assets.   Crown CEO said "The proposed demerger reflects the different nature of Crown Resorts' controlled Australian operating assets from its international investments. It will provide [...]