13 May, 2015

Bond vs. Term Deposit Liquidity

By |2015-05-13T04:31:26+10:00May 13, 2015|Bonds, Deposits|

With the spotlight on lower term deposit yields we thought it worth focusing on their liquidity . Essentially, term deposits can be broken before maturity with the issuing bank. There is no broad market determining the price, just a single bank and their deposit pricing systems. The following is a real life example as at 11th May, 2015: Term deposit with  major bank yielding 3.3% [...]

12 May, 2015

Macau’s continued weak gaming revenues plus sizeable Capital Investment triggers a change in our recommendation for Crown Subordinated Notes

By |2015-05-12T11:28:14+10:00May 12, 2015|Bonds, Hybrids|

After a 39.4% decline in gaming revenue for the month of March and a 35% fall over the first 3 months of the year, the Gaming Inspection and Coordination Bureau of Macau reported a 38.8% year on year decline in gross gaming revenue in April, the 11th consecutive monthly decline. In the first 4 months of 2015, Macau's gross gaming [...]

12 May, 2015

Review: Bank Reporting Season

By |2015-05-12T00:43:57+10:00May 12, 2015|Hybrids, Market Commentary|

Over the past week ANZ, NAB , WBC and Macquarie have all reported their half year results and CBA provided a quarterly update. The theme is consistent across issuers with cash earnings remaining strong (although below inflated expectations), asset quality remained relatively stable (with the exception of a couple of outliers) but the key theme has been an increase in [...]

3 May, 2015

Transurban: Credit Rating Agencies enforce our Sell Recommendation

By |2015-05-03T20:58:59+10:00May 3, 2015|Bonds|

On April 30th, 2015, Transurban issued a press release regarding the Victorian Government announcement that it will progress Transurban's proposal to deliver a new Melbourne motorway (called the Western Distributor), which will provide an alternaive to the West Gate Bridge and will keep trucks off the city's inner west. On the same day, Standard & Poor's (S&P) announced that it [...]

30 Apr, 2015

Introduction to BondAdviser

By |2015-04-30T06:51:21+10:00Apr 30, 2015|Bonds, Deposits, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

BondAdviser is an independent investment research company that specialises in bonds and fixed income securities. We provide investors, advisers, brokers and institutions with research, data, education and tools to help them invest intelligently. Our service is delivered online via an easy-to-use portal. At BondAdviser, our goal is to lift the lid on the fixed income market so that more investors [...]

23 Apr, 2015

Rating agencies lower some of their commodity prices expectations – Impact on BHP Billiton

By |2021-09-09T11:09:37+10:00Apr 23, 2015|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Last week, the credit rating agency S&P placed eight iron ore miners, including BHP Billiton, on negative credit watch after it revised its three-year price predictions for iron-ore, the main commodity used in steel-making. Table 1. S&P revised Iron-Ore price expectations (in USD per metric ton) 2015 2016 2017 Before 65.00 65.00 70.00 Revised prices 45.00 50.00 55.00 At the [...]

17 Apr, 2015

Weekly Insights – 14 April 2015

By |2021-09-09T11:08:30+10:00Apr 17, 2015|Bonds, Federal Reserve, Market Commentary|

It was a quiet news week in terms of fundamentals for fixed income markets but economic and technical news continues to flow. Over the past week we have had a very large new issue from ANZ (AUD$2.5billion), minutes released from the US Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, implications from the iron ore price collapse and the AOFM selling their first inflation linked [...]

25 Mar, 2015

Keeping Up with the Market

By |2015-03-25T12:24:15+11:00Mar 25, 2015|Bonds|

Over the past few weeks the primary market has seen a flurry of activity with 5 different issuers coming to market. These securities are all different in structure, credit risk and trading terms. At BondAdviser we keep a close eye on the factors driving issuance and give users easy access to monitor the secondary market performance of these securities when [...]

24 Feb, 2015

In Focus New Issue Activity

By |2021-09-09T11:08:30+10:00Feb 24, 2015|Bonds, Deposits, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

It’s been a quiet few weeks for the Primary Issue Market in the listed space whilst the traditional Wholesale Bond Market continues to see new issuances from repeat and first time issuers. The domestic banks have been very active, accessing funding in Europe over the past few weeks. Coming off the back of a period of volatility, we expect the [...]

24 Feb, 2015

Credit Spreads

By |2021-09-09T11:08:07+10:00Feb 24, 2015|Bonds, Deposits, Hybrids, Market Commentary|

There has been a definite drop in turnover this week with sellers beginning to back off and buyers returning to the asset class. Feedback I am receiving from our private bank clients suggests they are unsure where to invest their funds following the quite severe downturn in equities, negative press surrounding hybrids and cash rates continuing to decline. Those investors [...]