Market Commentary.

21 Feb, 2019

The Value of Independent Research

By |2021-09-24T09:18:37+10:00Feb 21, 2019|Case Study|

In the current unsettled times, with the financial and banking sector braced for more active and aggressive regulators and possible sweeping changes to operating models, the issues associated with reliable investor information and recommendations appear more relevant than ever. It is not that transparency from issuers is being brought into question, though it seemingly is. It is the murkiness with [...]

6 Feb, 2019

Term Deposit Review – January 2019

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Feb 6, 2019|Deposits, Market Commentary|

January proved to be a solid start for markets in 2019 as a softening in the Fed’s rhetoric and strong(ish) Australian CPI data encouraged sentiment. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced the Fed would be “patient” on any future rate changes and signalled flexibility in its balance sheet normalisation policy, which tempered volatility for the time being. Brexit and US-China trade [...]

20 Dec, 2018

GE & AMP: Case Studies in Tactical Investing

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Dec 20, 2018|Case Study, Education|

In April this year, the Banking Royal Commission prompted the first large company scalp with the resignation of AMP’s (ASX: AMP) CEO Craig Meller.  Mr Meller’s resignation followed revelations of serious misconduct by the institution for almost a decade and capped off a week in which its failures were brutally and publicly exposed. A few months later in the USA [...]

6 Dec, 2018

Term Deposit Review – November 2018

By |2021-09-24T10:43:35+10:00Dec 6, 2018|Deposits, Market Commentary|

An eventful month for financial markets saw initial de-risking globally with late dovish sentiment clawing markets back to an even position. Emphasised commentary centred on rates, oil, politics, leverage and earnings. APRA took centre stage with its announcement of TLAC reforms which we discussed in detail in our November 2018 Monthly Market Review.  We view the reforms as credit positive [...]

6 Dec, 2018

RCR Tomlinson: A Lesson in Project Risk

By |2021-09-24T10:43:36+10:00Dec 6, 2018|Case Study, Education|

The collapse of engineering group RCR Tomlinson (ASX: RCR) into administration on 23 November capped a remarkable fall for one of the oldest engineering contractors in the country.  However, whilst the appointment of administrators, that are set to carve up and sell off parts of the ailing business, surprised many in the market, company collapses in the construction industry are [...]

7 Nov, 2018

Term Deposit Review – October 2018

By |2021-09-24T10:43:36+10:00Nov 7, 2018|Deposits, Market Commentary|

In what was an eventful month for commentary surrounding the state of the Australian economy, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its bi-annual Financial Stability Review. In its review, the RBA noted a supportive global economic environment for growth, however, the central bank cited elevated levels of household debt and ongoing trade tensions as key risks to both the [...]

7 Nov, 2018

BICRA and TLAC: Revisiting Bank Hybrids Ahead of Possible Rating and Regulatory Changes

By |2021-09-24T10:43:36+10:00Nov 7, 2018|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Credit rating agencies such as Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s (S&P) have been in focus throughout 2018 as investors have watched the Australian financial landscape increasingly enter new territory.  This has largely been a function of the Royal Commission into Banking and Financial Services, as well as the more unstable political environment seen throughout the year.  However, despite the negative [...]

18 Oct, 2018

The Italian Banking Crisis: A Perfect Storm

By |2021-09-24T10:43:36+10:00Oct 18, 2018|Bonds, Market Commentary|

Earlier last week and before the more systemic selloff in risk assets, Italy’s 10-year government bond yields rose to a quite staggering 3.63% - the highest mark since 2014. Meanwhile, yields on the 10-year German Bund declined to an equally staggering 0.53% as the ‘lo spread’ between the two countries, which has long observed as a proxy for country risk, [...]